University of Connecticut

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Geography Colloquium: Rachel Franklin

Friday, October 28, 2016
12:20pm – 1:15pm

Storrs Campus
AUST 434

Covering the Losses: Quantifying the Burden of Decline in Shrinking U.S. Cities.

Internal patterns of loss (and the demography of affected areas) are important aspects of larger-scale measurements of urban shrinkage. The more concentrated the loss (both spatially and demographically), the more the burden of decline falls on fewer shoulders. This can result in large shares of city populations being ignorant of or immune to the occurrence and impacts of loss. On the other hand, loss that is widespread across large swathes of a city may indicate a more entrenched challenge that demands a different set of policy responses. This paper uses the sample of U.S. cities with at least 100,000 inhabitants in 2010 to ask how population loss manifests itself within these cities, the extent to which loss is clustered or more uniformly distributed, both spatially and demographically, and how demographic composition varies across different spatial patterns of loss. Measures that capture the demographic burden of decline are calculated and compared. Census tract and city-level change data for 2000 and 2010 are employed to capture population growth/loss at the two spatial scales.


Scott Stephenson (

Geography Department (primary), Center for Population Research, History Department, Political Science, UConn Master Calendar, Urban and Community Studies

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